Does Palantir have a future in 2025?
Palantir Technologies has created one of the most dramatic stories on Wall Street this year, defying conventional investment narratives. In 2025, it became the top-performing stock in the S&P 500, surging over 106% and at points climbing 144% from the start of the year—outpacing even AI heavyweights like Nvidia. A five-year sketch that lands near $100. I’ll keep the math simple on purpose. If Palantir compounds revenue at roughly 25% annually for five years, earns a net income margin of 30%, and trades at about 65 times earnings at that point, my model lands near $100 per share. That’s a far cry from today’s price.As such, it is easy to see why analysts are expecting a 58% spike in Palantir’s earnings in 2025 to $0. In the end, it can be concluded that Palantir is on track to increase its revenue and earnings at a nice clip over the next 10 years.But with the stock up 1,600% in the last five years, it is time for investors to turn the page. Instead of buying Palantir at an overvalued price, they should look at these two steadily growing technology stocks instead: Airbnb (NASDAQ: ABNB) and Coupang (NYSE: CPNG).
Can Palantir go to 300?
Estimates vary, but data-driven projections suggest Palantir could trade between $180 and $300 by 2030. This depends on continued commercial adoption, revenue growth to $12–25 billion, and stable profit margins around 22–25%. Palantir is currently valued at around $375 billion, so $1 trillion is about 3 times the current market capitalization. Still, to justify that valuation over time, Palantir must back it up with sustainable earnings.A big part of that improvement comes from Palantir’s impressive adjusted operating margin which jumped from 22% in Q4 2022 to 38% in Q3 2024. That’s a 16%-point increase over the period. For Palantir’s growth, this means the company is becoming sharper at converting revenue growth into actual profits.
Will Palantir make millionaires?
Even if Palantir stock merely meets the average return of the S&P 500, keeping those shares for another 15 to 20 years could result in a shareholder reaching millionaire status. But a lot of people missed the boat on Palantir. That makes Palantir extremely susceptible to an earnings miss or a shift in investor sentiment. Investors looking at the stock today may want to wait for a significant pullback in price before adding shares to their portfolio. It’s unlikely that a $10,000 investment in Palantir today will make you a millionaire.